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View Full Version : (Oct. 25, 2008): Rasmussen NH: Obama's Lead Down to 4%, Was 10% (Rasmussen Reports)


G4Hillary
10-25-2008, 08:39 PM
The presidential race in New Hampshire has grown closer, with Barack Obama now leading John McCain 50% to 46%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state.

At the beginning of the month, the Democrat held a ten point lead over his opponent, which shifted New Hampshire from “toss-up” to “leans Democratic” in the Rasmussen Balance of Power Calculator. In the eight polls prior to October, Obama has held the lead in five, McCain in three.

Voters in New Hampshire are divided on who they trust more on the top issue of the economy, with Obama holding the edge, 46% to 45%. While 43% agree with Obama’s idea that spreading the wealth around would be good for everybody, 44% disagree.

Voters trust McCain more on national security and the War on Terror by a 53% to 43% margin.

Regardless of who they want to win, 46% of voters in New Hampshire think Obama will win the Granite State, while 39% say the winner will be McCain.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Obama now leads 51% to 42% among unaffiliated voters in New Hampshire. He was up 55% to 37% lead three weeks ago. McCain leads by ten among men, while women favor Obama by nineteen (see full demographic crosstabs).

Both candidates are viewed unfavorably by 43% of voters in New Hampshire. McCain is viewed favorably by 56%, Obama by 55%.

Not even half of New Hampshire voters (46%) say elections are generally fair to voters, but most are confident their vote will be counted and the right candidate declared the winner.

Rasmussen Markets data shows that Obama is currently given a 82.5 % chance of winning New Hampshire's four Electoral College votes this year. At the time this poll was released, New Hampshire is rated as “Leans Democratic” in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. NOTE: Factors other than the latest Rasmussen Reports poll impact the Balance of Power ratings. The current status is indicated on the table in the upper right hand corner of this article.

New presidential polling data also has been released this week from Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Minnesota, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington and West Virginia. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House (see 50-State Summary). http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_hampshire/election_2008_new_hampshire_presidential_election

PalinPower
10-25-2008, 09:56 PM
Here's hoping McCain pulls a 'Hillary' on Obama in New Hampshire!

Ikasu
10-25-2008, 09:57 PM
Here's hoping McCain pulls a 'Hillary' on Obama in New Hampshire!

That would be poetic justice. If he wins by winning NH.

G4Hillary
10-25-2008, 09:58 PM
Here's hoping McCain pulls a 'Hillary' on Obama in New Hampshire!
Exactly. Why would anyone trust a poll in NH after what Hillary pulled off. I'm confident McCain will win in NH.

PalinPower
10-25-2008, 10:01 PM
Exactly. Why would anyone trust a poll in NH after what Hillary pulled off. I'm confident McCain will win in NH.

Considering Obama lead Hillary by 9 points and she won by 3, a 4-point lead for Obama can't be a good sign at all, especially since McCain also won that state in the primaries.

Isis46
10-25-2008, 10:02 PM
Exactly. Why would anyone trust a poll in NH after what Hillary pulled off. I'm confident McCain will win in NH.

Refresh my memory, as I was following the GOP race then: Wasn't Barry up by 9% the day before, and Hillary won the state handily?

Tague
10-25-2008, 10:28 PM
Refresh my memory, as I was following the GOP race then: Wasn't Barry up by 9% the day before, and Hillary won the state handily?


BO's internal polls showed him up by 6 the day before the NH primary vote and Hillary won by 2 - shift of 8 ....some say heavily accredited to BO's snide remark in the debate of "you're likeable enough".

skc1976
10-26-2008, 03:14 AM
This is definitely some good news! This would be a nice pull for McCain!

sadie
10-26-2008, 03:25 AM
No way NH goes blue. Isn't it the Free State project state? No way they vote for MORE government involvement in their lives. I guess the problem would be in Barr playing the spoiler here...but I don't see the "Live free or die" state going blue this time around. Call me crazy...

Kathy1980
10-26-2008, 03:45 AM
More Good News!!!:D:D

i hate nbc and cnn
10-26-2008, 04:18 AM
No way NH goes blue. Isn't it the Free State project state? No way they vote for MORE government involvement in their lives. I guess the problem would be in Barr playing the spoiler here...but I don't see the "Live free or die" state going blue this time around. Call me crazy...

i like there are lot of moderates in nh it will be a close race

foxyladi
10-26-2008, 11:44 AM
Exactly. Why would anyone trust a poll in NH after what Hillary pulled off. I'm confident McCain will win in NH.

and ohio and pa and virginia ect.

ModerateRepublican
10-26-2008, 11:52 AM
The only problem is I don't see a combination where Mac winning NH wins him the WH.

Either he has enough votes and NH is just 4 more.
Or he is 5+ behind and NH still only gives him <270.